Сентябрь 2021

Research Papers

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Dynamo Moscow Rubin: prediction and bet by Dmitry Simonov

Hello everyone!

Especially for the Bookmaker Rating channel, I give a forecast for the match of the Russian championship, in which Moscow Dynamo will host Rubin.

So, for this match I prepared a very unusual, one might say, unexpected bet. She will not be for the result, not for total and unscored goals, but will be sent off.

I looked at the statistics and was just shocked. There have been eight red cards in the last five head-to-head games, including four games with one friendly. Yes, in the last five head-to-head matches, every time someone was removed. And in some matches there were several deletions. Eight penalties in five games.

If you watch the last two matches of Dynamo Moscow, the opponents also earned deletions. Actually I’m expecting a fighting and nervous game. Rubin’s head coach disqualified. Slutsky will not lead the team, so this may lead to some nervousness.

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Both teams have enough bright performers who force opponents to foul on themselves. It may well be that someone will simply cross the threshold of rudeness, or passions will flare up on the field. Of course, Rubin and Dynamo need victories. Both teams are fighting for the highest places.

I think that this time the likelihood of deletion also exists. Once such a trend has appeared, then you can take a risk and bet on it. Removal ratio is 3.50. There is another less risky bet that the match will be either sent off or a penalty kick. Odds for such an event 1.70. I’ll take both of these bets. One risky, one easier.

It seems to me that the likelihood of a penalty in this match is also high. There are enough bright performers here and there. True, Zakharyan will not play for Dynamo, but nevertheless, both teams are fast. Both teams have performers who can earn a penalty in someone else’s penalty area. The nerve of the game will be conducive to this. I choose exactly these two rates.

Your choice, as always, is yours. I wish you all good luck!

For other sports betting, see the Predictions section.

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Spain — France: prediction and rate of Alexey Andronov

Nations League Final. Finals are always hard to predict. If it was the final of the World or European Championship, then there would be thoughts about the total less and that the teams will play with wild responsibility in their half of the field, trying not to miss, and then how will it turn out. Still, the League of Nations is not such a tournament. The French, who went through 0: 2 with Belgium, should understand that there is no need to change the strategy.

As long as I have been watching the French national team lately, Deschamps’ team for some reason starts to play only in the second half. It was now with Belgium, earlier with Ukraine in the qualifying tournament for the World Cup. Don’t know what is the reason. But I think that now the players should understand that they pulled themselves out of the swamp by their hair (v. Belgium). If they do not win this match, then they are worth a penny.

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My version is the victory of France in the tournament. Odds 1.8. Confidence 7.5 on a 10-point system.

Photo by Photo by Laurence Griffiths / Getty Images

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Manchester United Manchester City: prediction and rate of Alexander Netsenko

Hello everyone!

You continue to be on the Bookmaker Rating channel and let’s talk about the match between the two Manchester. At Old Trafford United to play City.

Despite the fact that the distance between the teams in the standings is not too great, the quality of the game is very different. Many will point to the defeat at Crystal Palace, but recall that there was an eclipse at Laporte, who played very poorly. He received a red card and his mistakes influenced the outcome of the meeting.

The defeat of Club Brugge in the Champions League showed that Guardiola’s team can react well to setbacks. Now you can hardly expect Manchester United to dry the game against Manchester City. Now there are no resources for this, besides, Varane was injured. There will be experiments with the tactical scheme, which has undergone changes during the match with Atalanta. All this suggests that the search for the right combinations and the desired scheme is being carried out.

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Now Manchester United does not look like a team that can take points in the confrontation with City. Plus we know how poorly United plays at home. The team scored fewer points at home than on the road in England. The situation is not in favor of United. I will not look for a Manchester United goal in this match, although it may be, but I do not want to lay on it.

Take a head-on victory for Manchester City at 1.72. Take City Individual Total Over 1.5 For 1.66. I will take the victory of Manchester City through total under 4.5 for 2.15. I’ll bet on the exact number of City goals 2-3 goals for 1.90 I hope we are lucky. Good luck!

For other sports betting, see the Predictions section.
Photo: Emilio Andreoli / Getty Images Sport

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Italy Russia: forecast and rate of Alexander Aksenov

The Russian national volleyball team has reached the quarterfinals of the European Championship, and, perhaps, it will be quite difficult to advance further. In the rivals of the Italians, who, like Serbia, are among the clear contenders for first place. But that’s not the point. The Italian national team, unlike our national team, plays at the continental tournament with the optimal composition and after the failure at the Tokyo Olympics, of course, only thinks about the first place.

For Italy and the history of the confrontation — the last time the Russians beat the Italians in 2021 in the League of Nations, but in this competition it was the opponent who played the youth combination, but at the Olympic Games there was a defeat with a score of 0: 3. And even before this summer, Italy had a four-league winning streak.

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The success of the Russian national team is possible only if Buzatto’s charges show perfect volleyball, but we have not seen anything like this at this Euro yet — even with Belarus in each game there were serious problems.

Thus, my prediction for this match is a 3: 0 victory for Italy.

Photo: Toru Hanai / Getty Images Sport

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Superexpress: play odds 6.10

Barcelona — Bayern Munich

Many of our experts agree that the guests will win. Bara is not the same. And even when there was «still that», it still lost to the German car, and it was large. In addition, the blue garnet will perform without a number of key players.

Munich, on the other hand, are in perfect order. One could take a chance and play the victory of the guests. But on the express train I’ll double chance. And to make the odds more beautiful, I will make it complete with the total.

They are simply obliged to punch 2.5 teams: Bayern play extremely productively, Bara, as a rule, goes beyond 2 goals.

I take 2X and TB (2.5) for a deuce.

Read all RB team predictions for the Barcelona — Bayern match in a special review.

Inter Real Madrid

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Parsed the match in a separate forecast. There I put on OZ and TB (2.5). I’ll play a little easier on the express train. Namely — the exchange of goals.

Inter always scores at home, the last clean sheet happened in December last year. Real Madrid can play without goals, but most often scores. Teams at the start of the season concede decently.

Playing OZ for 1.63.

Read all the predictions of the RB team for the Inter — Real match in a special review.

Malmo Juventus

Also considered the match in a detailed forecast. I will only add that I followed the Swedes during the qualifying for the Champions League. I can say that their game is really impressive. The team is perfectly tuned to the Champions League (including to the detriment of the Swedish national championship). Plays in an open and riding manner.

So I just have to repeat my bet on the exchange of goals. Malmo always scores at home (you can’t find clean sheets at all). Well, the Bianconeri can’t afford to leave Sweden with a bagel.

«Both To Score» at 1.87.

Photo: Valerio Pennicino / Getty Images Sport

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Severstal Spartak: forecast and rate of Maxim Lebedev

Severstal’s victorious gait has already reached six matches. Moreover, only in the first of them, the Cherepovites needed overtime to win. The next five rivals, among whom was Barys, and even Salavat Yulaev himself, great and terrible, were endured by the northerners in regular time.

Spartak, of course, has a more modest picture. They had a five-game winning streak, but then the red-and-white ranks at Sochi, and with Lokomotiv they rolled downhill. And now there is every reason to assume that in Cherepovets this slide will turn into an indiscriminate fall with a three-match streak of continuous defeats to boot.

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Why i think so? Because the streak between these rivals is thoroughly domestic. The hosts won in the last four get-togethers, and the guests won only twice in the last ten head-to-head meetings. Quite confident statistics in order to wish the red and white happiness, good luck, success in their personal life and sympathize with them a little.

Severstal didn’t just taste blood. At the moment she revels in it. And it is not for Spartak to break such a thrill, something more serious is needed here. Therefore, I predict a home victory for the Cherepovets, in regulation time and with an advantage of at least two goals.

For other sports betting, see the Predictions section.

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